Jesse Winchester vs Mikhail Grabovski
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 52.5% vs Grabovski 51.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grabovski 70.2%
Defensive zone
Winchester 57.8%
Neutral zone
Winchester 50.4%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Winchester
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Winchester
Grabovski
Last 6: Winchester 3-3 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
2
Winchester
Grabovski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
0
Winchester
Grabovski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
1
Winchester
Grabovski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (177)
50.6% (786)
+5.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.2% (85)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (54)
52.6% (19)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Grabovski has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Winchester is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Winchester shoots right. Grabovski is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Winchester
Grabovski
Home
57.1% (98)
51.5% (497)
Away
51.1% (137)
51.5% (408)
By Period
Winchester
Grabovski
P1
44.6%
47.7%
P2
59.3%
52.5%
P3
55.9%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
53.6%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 11:59 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |