Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Winchester wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 54.7% vs Gomez 48.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 71.9%
Defensive zone
Winchester 72.3%
Neutral zone
Winchester 50.3%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Winchester
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Winchester
Gomez
Last 5: Winchester 2-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
1
Winchester
Gomez
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Winchester
Gomez
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Winchester
Gomez
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (469)
47.9% (900)
+8.2%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
50.2% (219)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (61)
36.8% (57)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Winchester has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Winchester is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Winchester shoots right. Gomez is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Home / Away
Winchester
Gomez
Home
56.9% (299)
51.1% (611)
Away
54.1% (246)
44.9% (586)
By Period
Winchester
Gomez
P1
49.7%
50.8%
P2
59.8%
48.5%
P3
56.4%
44.7%
OT
75.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
55.6%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |