Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Winchester wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 53.7% vs Brent 50.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Winchester leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Brent 51.8%
Defensive zone
Winchester 52.4%
Neutral zone
Winchester 52.7%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Winchester
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Winchester
Brent
Last 10: Winchester 7-3 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
4
0
Winchester
Brent
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
0
Winchester
Brent
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brent
2
3
Winchester
Brent
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (716)
50.2% (1,234)
+5.0%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
58.2% (91)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (175)
51.7% (267)
-0.3%
On power play, Brent has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Winchester is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Winchester shoots right. Brent is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Winchester
Brent
Home
54.7% (459)
51.6% (779)
Away
53.4% (451)
50.0% (820)
By Period
Winchester
Brent
P1
47.8%
54.2%
P2
57.8%
49.3%
P3
56.2%
48.8%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |