Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Winchester wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 54.7% vs Brent 51.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winchester 65.6%
Defensive zone
Brent 57.7%
Neutral zone
Brent 50.8%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Winchester
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Winchester
Brent
Last 8: Winchester 6-2 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
3
0
Winchester
Brent
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
0
Winchester
Brent
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Winchester
Brent
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (469)
52.8% (563)
+3.3%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
54.5% (22)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (61)
51.0% (198)
+6.4%
On power play, Brent has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Winchester is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Winchester shoots right. Brent is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Winchester
Brent
Home
56.9% (299)
50.5% (384)
Away
54.1% (246)
53.5% (404)
By Period
Winchester
Brent
P1
49.7%
54.9%
P2
59.8%
52.5%
P3
56.4%
48.7%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
55.6%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |