Jesse Winchester vs Tim Connolly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Winchester wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 53.7% vs Connolly 47.3% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Connolly leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 72.0%
Defensive zone
Winchester 64.0%
Neutral zone
Connolly 54.2%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Winchester
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Winchester
Connolly
Last 10: Winchester 6-4 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Winchester
Connolly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
3
Winchester
Connolly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
1
Winchester
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (716)
47.4% (1,307)
+7.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
50.2% (251)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (175)
41.9% (186)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Winchester has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Winchester is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Winchester shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Winchester
Connolly
Home
54.7% (459)
48.5% (870)
Away
53.4% (451)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Winchester
Connolly
P1
47.8%
47.4%
P2
57.8%
47.7%
P3
56.2%
47.0%
OT
57.1%
37.8%
Final 5 min
53.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 10:51 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |