Jesse Winchester vs Tyler Seguin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.6%). Look for Winchester on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Winchester wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 53.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 71.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 54.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 57.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Winchester
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Winchester
Seguin
Last 7: Winchester 6-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
0
Winchester
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
1
Winchester
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winchester
2
0
Winchester
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (716)
53.7% (8,071)
+1.5%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
55.9% (810)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (175)
49.3% (762)
+2.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Winchester is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Winchester shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Winchester
Seguin
Home
54.7% (459)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
53.4% (451)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Winchester
Seguin
P1
47.8%
52.8%
P2
57.8%
53.3%
P3
56.2%
54.7%
OT
57.1%
54.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |