Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs O'Brien 47.0% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 67.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 91.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 82.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
MacKenzie
O'Brien
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
O'Brien
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 O'Brien
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
O'Brien
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
O'Brien
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
O'Brien
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
O'Brien
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
42.6% (61)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
33.3% (3)
+8.1%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Brien shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
MacKenzie shoots left. O'Brien is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
O'Brien
Home
51.3% (312)
50.0% (18)
Away
52.9% (293)
39.1% (46)
By Period
MacKenzie
O'Brien
P1
50.5%
39.1%
P2
48.8%
59.1%
P3
57.4%
26.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |