Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Brien on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 47.6% vs Tavares 54.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
O'Brien leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.5%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 56.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
O'Brien
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
O'Brien
Tavares
Last 10: O'Brien 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
5
O'Brien
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
7
0
O'Brien
Tavares
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
O'Brien
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (451)
54.0% (15,885)
-5.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
56.5% (4,221)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (141)
50.7% (612)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. O'Brien is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (412).
O'Brien shoots right. Tavares is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (7,429).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Tavares
Home
47.1% (274)
56.1% (10,389)
Away
47.3% (330)
52.7% (10,358)
By Period
O'Brien
Tavares
P1
47.2%
55.1%
P2
49.8%
54.1%
P3
43.6%
54.0%
OT
75.0%
56.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |