Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Brien on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 47.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 74.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
O'Brien
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
O'Brien
Staal
Last 9: O'Brien 5-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
2
1
O'Brien
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
1
0
O'Brien
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
O'Brien
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (451)
55.9% (14,620)
-7.1%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
62.7% (1,745)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (141)
48.0% (2,896)
-6.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. O'Brien is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (412).
O'Brien shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Staal
Home
47.1% (274)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
47.3% (330)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
O'Brien
Staal
P1
47.2%
55.2%
P2
49.8%
55.9%
P3
43.6%
54.9%
OT
75.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
42.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |