Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 47.6% vs Eller 50.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Brien 54.8%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 57.9%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 61.7%
Result
Jim O'Brien favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
O'Brien
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
O'Brien
Eller
Last 7: O'Brien 3-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Brien
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
O'Brien
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Brien
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (451)
51.0% (10,168)
-2.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
52.8% (621)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (141)
46.7% (1,740)
-4.9%
On power play, O'Brien has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. O'Brien is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (412).
O'Brien shoots right. Eller is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,547).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Eller
Home
47.1% (274)
51.4% (6,057)
Away
47.3% (330)
49.7% (6,500)
By Period
O'Brien
Eller
P1
47.2%
51.2%
P2
49.8%
50.0%
P3
43.6%
50.2%
OT
75.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
42.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 30, 2013 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |