Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Brien on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Brien wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 47.0% vs Bergeron 60.9% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
O'Brien leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 94.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 87.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 79.0%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 89.2%
10.8%
89.2%
O'Brien
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
O'Brien
Bergeron
Last 10: O'Brien 7-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
3
2
O'Brien
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
2
1
O'Brien
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Brien
2
0
O'Brien
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (151)
62.6% (660)
-14.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.8% (97)
+40.2%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
61.4% (127)
-22.6%
On power play, O'Brien has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. O'Brien is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (78).
O'Brien shoots right. Bergeron is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Bergeron
Home
46.5% (101)
67.0% (443)
Away
44.9% (118)
57.1% (441)
By Period
O'Brien
Bergeron
P1
44.3%
63.7%
P2
48.6%
60.0%
P3
43.9%
63.2%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
36.1%
66.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2013 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |