Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Brien on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 48.0% vs Crosby 50.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.6%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 72.0%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 55.3%
Result
Jim O'Brien favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
O'Brien
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
O'Brien
Crosby
Last 6: O'Brien 3-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
O'Brien
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
3
1
O'Brien
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
49.3% (335)
-0.4%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
54.7% (106)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (67)
28.6% (7)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, O'Brien has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. O'Brien is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (190).
O'Brien shoots right. Crosby is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Crosby
Home
46.8% (139)
57.1% (240)
Away
47.9% (117)
42.3% (213)
By Period
O'Brien
Crosby
P1
51.6%
55.0%
P2
46.1%
46.3%
P3
41.9%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |