Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Brien wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 47.6% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 73.9%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 71.5%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 64.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
O'Brien
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
O'Brien
Stamkos
Last 10: O'Brien 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
O'Brien
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Brien
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Brien
2
1
O'Brien
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (451)
50.4% (9,711)
-1.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
55.1% (1,709)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (141)
49.7% (819)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. O'Brien is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
O'Brien shoots right. Stamkos is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,564).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Stamkos
Home
47.1% (274)
52.7% (6,198)
Away
47.3% (330)
49.2% (6,067)
By Period
O'Brien
Stamkos
P1
47.2%
49.1%
P2
49.8%
52.8%
P3
43.6%
50.8%
OT
75.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
42.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |