Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Slater on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Slater shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Slater 54.1% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 88.1%
Defensive zone
Slater 68.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 65.4%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
O'Reilly
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
O'Reilly
Slater
Last 8: O'Reilly 3-5 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Slater
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
1
2
O'Reilly
Slater
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
1
3
O'Reilly
Slater
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
55.5% (884)
-11.0%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
68.0% (25)
-19.7%
On power play, Slater has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
O'Reilly shoots left. Slater is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Slater
Home
50.9% (112)
58.1% (594)
Away
40.4% (156)
50.6% (571)
By Period
O'Reilly
Slater
P1
56.5%
53.6%
P2
40.4%
52.3%
P3
36.3%
57.2%
OT
75.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
35.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jim Slater |