Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Slater shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs Slater 58.5% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 72.3%
Defensive zone
Slater 81.9%
Neutral zone
Slater 58.7%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Tierney
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tierney
Slater
Last 6: Tierney 3-3 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Slater
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
0
1
Tierney
Slater
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Slater
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
64.4% (450)
-20.8%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
75.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
52.2% (297)
-12.2%
On power play, Slater has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. Tierney is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Tierney shoots left. Slater is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Tierney
Slater
Home
46.5% (127)
64.0% (411)
Away
42.3% (215)
54.4% (340)
By Period
Tierney
Slater
P1
42.7%
59.8%
P2
39.2%
58.0%
P3
48.8%
61.4%
Final 5 min
42.5%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Jim Slater |