Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 50.2% vs Slater 55.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fraser 52.1%
Defensive zone
Slater 80.2%
Neutral zone
Slater 60.5%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Fraser
Slater
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Fraser
Slater
Last 9: Fraser 5-4 Slater
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
0
2
Fraser
Slater
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
5
2
Fraser
Slater
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Slater
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (162)
61.0% (195)
-11.6%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (8)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
51.3% (78)
-11.3%
On power play, Fraser has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Slater shoots left. Fraser is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Fraser shoots left. Slater is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Fraser
Slater
Home
50.0% (84)
58.6% (169)
Away
50.6% (89)
57.1% (112)
By Period
Fraser
Slater
P1
53.9%
57.0%
P2
51.6%
55.9%
P3
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
43.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |