Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Slater on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Slater wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 56.7% vs Bailey 45.5% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Slater 60.5%
Defensive zone
Slater 97.3%
Neutral zone
Slater 92.0%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Slater
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Slater
Bailey
Last 5: Slater 4-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Slater
1
0
Slater
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
3
1
Slater
Bailey
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,983)
45.8% (1,991)
+13.1%
Power Play
65.2% (46)
48.1% (295)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (722)
39.9% (281)
+11.5%
On power play, Slater has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Slater is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,721).
Slater shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Slater
Bailey
Home
60.9% (1,436)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
52.7% (1,329)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Slater
Bailey
P1
57.0%
46.5%
P2
55.6%
44.8%
P3
58.4%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
58.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2011 | OT | 03:10 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 20, 2011 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |