Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Slater wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 56.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 78.7%
Defensive zone
Slater 83.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Slater
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Slater
O'Reilly
Last 10: Slater 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
7
Slater
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
4
2
Slater
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
4
0
Slater
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,983)
56.2% (15,103)
+2.7%
Power Play
65.2% (46)
58.7% (3,395)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (722)
51.6% (2,769)
-0.2%
On power play, Slater has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Slater is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,721).
Slater shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,728).
Home / Away
Slater
O'Reilly
Home
60.9% (1,436)
57.6% (10,669)
Away
52.7% (1,329)
54.4% (10,631)
By Period
Slater
O'Reilly
P1
57.0%
55.5%
P2
55.6%
57.0%
P3
58.4%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
62.7%
Final 5 min
58.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |