Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Slater wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 54.1% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.7%
Defensive zone
Slater 88.2%
Neutral zone
Slater 63.7%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Slater
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Slater
O'Reilly
Last 6: Slater 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Slater
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
1
0
Slater
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
2
0
Slater
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (884)
52.5% (1,177)
+3.0%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
54.6% (130)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (246)
52.8% (108)
-2.8%
On power play, Slater has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Slater is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Slater shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Slater
O'Reilly
Home
58.1% (594)
54.9% (669)
Away
50.6% (571)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Slater
O'Reilly
P1
53.6%
52.4%
P2
52.3%
56.1%
P3
57.2%
49.8%
OT
25.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
56.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
54.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |