Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Slater wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 58.5% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 90.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Slater
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Slater
O'Reilly
Last 5: Slater 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Slater
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Slater
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Slater
1
0
Slater
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
64.4% (450)
52.7% (900)
+11.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
55.6% (225)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (297)
54.5% (209)
-2.3%
On power play, Slater has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Slater is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Slater shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Slater
O'Reilly
Home
64.0% (411)
55.1% (693)
Away
54.4% (340)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Slater
O'Reilly
P1
59.8%
51.5%
P2
58.0%
54.7%
P3
61.4%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
69.7%
Final 5 min
62.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
59.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |