Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Vatrano wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hayes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vatrano 41.6% vs Hayes 40.2% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Vatrano 51.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.1%
Result
Jimmy Hayes favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Vatrano
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vatrano
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
38.3% (209)
36.1% (202)
+2.2%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
34.3% (35)
-4.9%
On power play, Hayes has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots right. Vatrano is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Vatrano shoots left. Hayes is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Vatrano
Hayes
Home
37.1% (116)
34.7% (124)
Away
39.1% (128)
37.7% (114)
By Period
Vatrano
Hayes
P1
37.8%
38.6%
P2
33.3%
26.5%
P3
43.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
38.9%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
38.1%
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%