Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 40.2% vs Carlsson 41.2% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 63.9%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 50.1%
Result
Jimmy Hayes favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Hayes
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (202)
41.0% (1,844)
-4.9%
Power Play
34.3% (35)
42.9% (154)
-8.6%
On power play, Carlsson has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Hayes is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Hayes shoots right. Carlsson is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Home / Away
Hayes
Carlsson
Home
34.7% (124)
42.2% (1,044)
Away
37.7% (114)
39.4% (1,074)
By Period
Hayes
Carlsson
P1
38.6%
43.3%
P2
26.5%
36.5%
P3
43.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
30.2%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%