Scouting Report
Mathieu Joseph holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Joseph shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 40.2% vs Joseph 40.7% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.9%
Defensive zone
Joseph 61.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.4%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Hayes
Joseph
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Joseph
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (202)
37.2% (336)
-1.1%
Power Play
34.3% (35)
57.1% (7)
-22.8%
On power play, Joseph has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joseph shoots left. Hayes is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Hayes shoots right. Joseph is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Hayes
Joseph
Home
34.7% (124)
38.8% (183)
Away
37.7% (114)
37.6% (181)
By Period
Hayes
Joseph
P1
38.6%
36.2%
P2
26.5%
28.8%
P3
43.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
30.2%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
38.2%