Scouting Report
Teuvo Teravainen holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Teravainen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.4% vs Teravainen 42.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 61.0%
Defensive zone
Teravainen 65.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.6%
Result
Teuvo Teravainen favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Hayes
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayes
Teravainen
Last 5: Hayes 1-4 Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
0
1
Hayes
Teravainen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Teravainen
1
3
Hayes
Teravainen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (85)
40.9% (252)
-2.1%
Power Play
33.3% (27)
37.0% (27)
-3.7%
On power play, Teravainen has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Hayes is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Hayes shoots right. Teravainen is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Hayes
Teravainen
Home
35.7% (56)
36.6% (153)
Away
39.3% (56)
44.2% (156)
By Period
Hayes
Teravainen
P1
35.7%
45.3%
P2
33.3%
30.6%
P3
42.2%
45.1%
Final 5 min
36.4%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
37.5%
Teravainen
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jimmy Hayes |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |