Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Andersson wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Andersson 47.3% vs Thornton 57.4% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Andersson 67.1%
Defensive zone
Andersson 60.9%
Neutral zone
Andersson 62.9%
Result
Joakim Andersson favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Andersson
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Andersson
Thornton
Last 8: Andersson 3-5 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Andersson
1
0
Andersson
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Andersson
2
1
Andersson
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
4
Andersson
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Andersson
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (280)
57.0% (540)
-9.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
64.0% (111)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
29.2% (24)
62.0% (50)
-32.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Andersson is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Andersson shoots left. Thornton is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Home / Away
Andersson
Thornton
Home
46.0% (137)
56.7% (353)
Away
46.8% (173)
60.3% (348)
By Period
Andersson
Thornton
P1
47.6%
59.3%
P2
37.5%
60.1%
P3
53.5%
57.1%
OT
100.0%
47.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Andersson
40.0%▼
52.0%
46.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Joakim Andersson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Joakim Andersson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Joakim Andersson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |