Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Hecht wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.9% vs Tavares 52.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Hecht 89.6%
Defensive zone
Hecht 85.0%
Neutral zone
Hecht 86.2%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Hecht
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Hecht
Tavares
Last 10: Hecht 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
8
Hecht
Tavares
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hecht
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
6
Hecht
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (558)
52.1% (992)
-10.3%
Power Play
44.4% (72)
53.7% (294)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (93)
50.0% (22)
-2.7%
On even strength, Tavares has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Hecht is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Hecht shoots left. Tavares is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Hecht
Tavares
Home
44.7% (356)
51.7% (679)
Away
41.6% (373)
53.4% (640)
By Period
Hecht
Tavares
P1
41.9%
52.2%
P2
45.0%
49.3%
P3
42.0%
56.3%
OT
45.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
39.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |