Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hecht wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 79.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 85.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 82.9%
17.1%
82.9%
Hecht
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hecht
Staal
Last 8: Hecht 5-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Hecht
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
0
Hecht
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
0
Hecht
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
56.0% (14,405)
-12.8%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
62.6% (1,691)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
48.1% (2,841)
-6.1%
On power play, Staal has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Hecht shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Home / Away
Hecht
Staal
Home
45.5% (714)
56.4% (9,518)
Away
40.7% (668)
54.4% (9,484)
By Period
Hecht
Staal
P1
41.9%
55.1%
P2
44.7%
56.0%
P3
43.1%
55.0%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |