Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Hecht wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.9% vs Staal 47.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Hecht
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hecht
Staal
Last 5: Hecht 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hecht
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
0
Hecht
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
0
Hecht
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (558)
47.6% (552)
-5.8%
Power Play
44.4% (72)
49.1% (110)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (93)
37.8% (111)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Hecht has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hecht is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Hecht shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Hecht
Staal
Home
44.7% (356)
49.8% (400)
Away
41.6% (373)
44.1% (401)
By Period
Hecht
Staal
P1
41.9%
53.7%
P2
45.0%
43.9%
P3
42.0%
43.5%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 06:44 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |