Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hecht wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 46.5% vs Turris 47.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 66.1%
Defensive zone
Hecht 54.8%
Neutral zone
Turris 60.3%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Hecht
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hecht
Turris
Last 6: Hecht 4-2 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Hecht
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
0
Hecht
Turris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
0
Hecht
Turris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (243)
46.6% (614)
+0.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
49.0% (98)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
40.0% (10)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Hecht is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Hecht shoots left. Turris is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Hecht
Turris
Home
49.3% (150)
50.3% (352)
Away
41.3% (150)
43.4% (371)
By Period
Hecht
Turris
P1
44.3%
48.1%
P2
50.0%
45.8%
P3
41.9%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
45.3%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |