Scouting Report
Matthew Lombardi holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lombardi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hecht wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lombardi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 46.5% vs Lombardi 49.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 50.1%
Defensive zone
Hecht 58.5%
Neutral zone
Hecht 52.6%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Hecht
Lombardi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hecht
Lombardi
Last 7: Hecht 3-4 Lombardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lombardi
0
2
Hecht
Lombardi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lombardi
1
2
Hecht
Lombardi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
0
Hecht
Lombardi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Lombardi
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (243)
50.8% (260)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
47.4% (19)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
38.5% (26)
-3.5%
On power play, Hecht has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lombardi shoots left. Hecht is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Hecht shoots left. Lombardi is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Hecht
Lombardi
Home
49.3% (150)
49.2% (177)
Away
41.3% (150)
49.6% (129)
By Period
Hecht
Lombardi
P1
44.3%
49.5%
P2
50.0%
53.9%
P3
41.9%
45.1%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
45.3%
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |