Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 44.4%). Look for Hecht on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hecht wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 46.5% vs Talbot 45.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 67.5%
Defensive zone
Talbot 55.1%
Neutral zone
Hecht 52.6%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Hecht
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Hecht
Talbot
Last 8: Hecht 7-1 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
2
0
Hecht
Talbot
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
4
0
Hecht
Talbot
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hecht
Talbot
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (243)
45.1% (450)
+1.8%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
50.0% (20)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
40.5% (163)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Talbot has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Hecht is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Hecht shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Hecht
Talbot
Home
49.3% (150)
47.8% (295)
Away
41.3% (150)
41.4% (345)
By Period
Hecht
Talbot
P1
44.3%
47.0%
P2
50.0%
41.5%
P3
41.9%
44.5%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
45.3%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2011 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 7, 2011 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |