Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hecht wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Richards 50.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 54.5%
Defensive zone
Hecht 58.1%
Neutral zone
Hecht 56.2%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Hecht
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hecht
Richards
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Hecht
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
50.0% (3,722)
-6.8%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
54.6% (445)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
51.4% (502)
-9.4%
On power play, Richards has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Hecht shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Hecht
Richards
Home
45.5% (714)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
40.7% (668)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Hecht
Richards
P1
41.9%
49.6%
P2
44.7%
52.3%
P3
43.1%
49.3%
OT
40.0%
58.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |