Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.2% vs 42.5%). Look for Hecht on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Hecht wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Elias 42.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Hecht leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 51.7%
Defensive zone
Hecht 55.3%
Neutral zone
Hecht 54.6%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Hecht
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Hecht
Elias
Last 10: Hecht 5-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
0
Hecht
Elias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hecht
Elias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
4
3
Hecht
Elias
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
42.3% (2,591)
+0.9%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
48.4% (405)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
36.0% (367)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Hecht has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Hecht shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Hecht
Elias
Home
45.5% (714)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
40.7% (668)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Hecht
Elias
P1
41.9%
41.1%
P2
44.7%
43.1%
P3
43.1%
43.0%
OT
40.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
44.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2011 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |