Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Hecht wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 79.0%
Defensive zone
Hecht 80.2%
Neutral zone
Hecht 79.8%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Hecht
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hecht
Kesler
Last 5: Hecht 1-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hecht
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Hecht
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Hecht
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
56.4% (8,095)
-13.2%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
60.7% (1,437)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
50.5% (1,908)
-8.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Hecht is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Hecht shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Hecht
Kesler
Home
45.5% (714)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
40.7% (668)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Hecht
Kesler
P1
41.9%
56.5%
P2
44.7%
55.9%
P3
43.1%
56.1%
OT
40.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |