Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hecht on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Hecht wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Gagner 46.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Hecht leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 85.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 60.2%
Neutral zone
Gagner 67.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Hecht
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Hecht
Gagner
Last 10: Hecht 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hecht
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
0
Hecht
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
9
3
Hecht
Gagner
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
45.4% (4,699)
-2.2%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
51.5% (928)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
35.0% (226)
+7.0%
On power play, Gagner has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hecht is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Hecht shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Hecht
Gagner
Home
45.5% (714)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
40.7% (668)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Hecht
Gagner
P1
41.9%
44.6%
P2
44.7%
46.1%
P3
43.1%
47.3%
OT
40.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:13 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 16:41 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |