Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Colborne 48.7% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.4%
Defensive zone
Colborne 50.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.9%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
O'Reilly
Colborne
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
47.7% (960)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
52.4% (170)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
54.3% (35)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Colborne
Home
50.6% (480)
56.1% (569)
Away
43.2% (465)
41.4% (596)
By Period
O'Reilly
Colborne
P1
47.1%
50.3%
P2
46.7%
48.9%
P3
46.8%
46.7%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%