Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Colborne 48.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Colborne leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Colborne 57.2%
Defensive zone
Colborne 56.8%
Neutral zone
Colborne 57.0%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Roy
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Roy
Colborne
Last 10: Roy 2-8 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Colborne
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
1
3
Roy
Colborne
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
4
Roy
Colborne
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
47.7% (960)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
52.4% (170)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
54.3% (35)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Roy
Colborne
Home
49.5% (1,982)
56.1% (569)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
41.4% (596)
By Period
Roy
Colborne
P1
47.6%
50.3%
P2
46.2%
48.9%
P3
48.5%
46.7%
OT
43.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |