Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.7% vs Chipchura 50.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 56.4%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 70.5%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 61.3%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Colborne
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Colborne
Chipchura
Last 9: Colborne 5-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
3
2
Colborne
Chipchura
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
0
1
Colborne
Chipchura
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colborne
2
1
Colborne
Chipchura
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (960)
50.9% (2,100)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.4% (170)
45.7% (46)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
45.0% (171)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Colborne shoots left. Chipchura is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,553).
Home / Away
Colborne
Chipchura
Home
56.1% (569)
50.7% (1,143)
Away
41.4% (596)
49.9% (1,179)
By Period
Colborne
Chipchura
P1
50.3%
51.1%
P2
48.9%
50.3%
P3
46.7%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
78.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Kyle Chipchura |