Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Colborne wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Arcobello shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 51.8% vs Arcobello 50.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 50.3%
Defensive zone
Colborne 51.3%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 50.2%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Colborne
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Colborne
Arcobello
Last 5: Colborne 0-5 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
0
4
Colborne
Arcobello
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
0
1
Colborne
Arcobello
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (284)
50.0% (858)
+2.1%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
62.1% (58)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
26.1% (23)
+27.7%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Colborne is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Colborne shoots left. Arcobello is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Colborne
Arcobello
Home
60.7% (163)
52.7% (478)
Away
44.5% (173)
47.5% (461)
By Period
Colborne
Arcobello
P1
59.3%
52.4%
P2
47.0%
51.7%
P3
52.4%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |