Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Colborne wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.8% vs Ribeiro 44.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 81.6%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 64.2%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 66.4%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Colborne
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Colborne
Ribeiro
Last 9: Colborne 2-7 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
3
Colborne
Ribeiro
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
3
Colborne
Ribeiro
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Colborne
Ribeiro
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
43.1% (821)
+5.5%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
48.1% (77)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
0.0% (5)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Colborne is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Colborne shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Colborne
Ribeiro
Home
53.9% (243)
45.2% (504)
Away
41.9% (198)
40.9% (399)
By Period
Colborne
Ribeiro
P1
48.3%
42.7%
P2
50.4%
45.3%
P3
47.3%
43.0%
OT
40.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |