Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Colborne wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.8% vs Koivu 54.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 72.4%
Defensive zone
Colborne 70.9%
Neutral zone
Colborne 70.0%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Colborne
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Colborne
Koivu
Last 6: Colborne 1-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Colborne
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Colborne
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Colborne
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
54.0% (948)
-5.4%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
58.7% (225)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
54.3% (138)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Colborne is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Colborne shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Colborne
Koivu
Home
53.9% (243)
59.8% (669)
Away
41.9% (198)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Colborne
Koivu
P1
48.3%
53.4%
P2
50.4%
56.2%
P3
47.3%
56.3%
OT
40.0%
36.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2014 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |