Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Colborne wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.8% vs Jokinen 46.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 58.0%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 58.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 59.6%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Colborne
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Colborne
Jokinen
Last 5: Colborne 1-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Colborne
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Colborne
Jokinen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Colborne
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (381)
45.3% (1,142)
+3.3%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
53.4% (131)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
43.9% (57)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Colborne is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Colborne shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Colborne
Jokinen
Home
53.9% (243)
48.8% (692)
Away
41.9% (198)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Colborne
Jokinen
P1
48.3%
44.9%
P2
50.4%
45.7%
P3
47.3%
46.9%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.5%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |