Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 69.0%
Defensive zone
Colborne 68.9%
Neutral zone
Colborne 70.6%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Colborne
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Colborne
Johansen
Last 6: Colborne 1-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Colborne
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Colborne
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Colborne
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (960)
53.1% (11,017)
-5.4%
Power Play
52.4% (170)
56.2% (2,163)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
50.5% (978)
+3.8%
On even strength, Johansen has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Colborne is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Colborne shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Colborne
Johansen
Home
56.1% (569)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
41.4% (596)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Colborne
Johansen
P1
50.3%
53.2%
P2
48.9%
53.9%
P3
46.7%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |