Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.0%). Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Colborne wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 51.8% vs Johansen 51.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 63.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 53.6%
Neutral zone
Colborne 55.1%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Colborne
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Colborne
Johansen
Last 5: Colborne 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Colborne
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Colborne
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Colborne
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (284)
51.6% (1,127)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
53.6% (267)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
51.6% (244)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Colborne is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Colborne shoots left. Johansen is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Colborne
Johansen
Home
60.7% (163)
55.0% (809)
Away
44.5% (173)
49.0% (829)
By Period
Colborne
Johansen
P1
59.3%
50.7%
P2
47.0%
54.4%
P3
52.4%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |