Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.7% vs Koivu 51.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 80.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 61.7%
Neutral zone
Colborne 60.3%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Colborne
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Colborne
Koivu
Last 8: Colborne 3-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Colborne
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Colborne
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Colborne
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (960)
51.9% (3,221)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.4% (170)
59.3% (437)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
48.0% (764)
+6.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Colborne is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Colborne shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Colborne
Koivu
Home
56.1% (569)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
41.4% (596)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Colborne
Koivu
P1
50.3%
51.1%
P2
48.9%
52.6%
P3
46.7%
51.8%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |