Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.7% vs Gagner 46.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 53.6%
Defensive zone
Colborne 50.5%
Neutral zone
Gagner 54.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Colborne
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Colborne
Gagner
Last 9: Colborne 3-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
3
2
Colborne
Gagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Colborne
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Colborne
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (960)
45.4% (4,699)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.4% (170)
51.5% (928)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
35.0% (226)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Colborne is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Colborne shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Colborne
Gagner
Home
56.1% (569)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
41.4% (596)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Colborne
Gagner
P1
50.3%
44.6%
P2
48.9%
46.1%
P3
46.7%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | OT | 01:32 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |