Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 48.7% vs Lewis 43.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 50.3%
Defensive zone
Lewis 53.8%
Neutral zone
Lewis 55.1%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Colborne
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Colborne
Lewis
Last 6: Colborne 3-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
2
1
Colborne
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Colborne
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (960)
43.2% (2,347)
+4.5%
Power Play
52.4% (170)
51.9% (108)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (35)
38.6% (365)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Colborne is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Colborne shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Colborne
Lewis
Home
56.1% (569)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
41.4% (596)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Colborne
Lewis
P1
50.3%
42.8%
P2
48.9%
43.9%
P3
46.7%
41.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |