Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Colborne wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 51.8% vs Johnson 48.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 56.9%
Defensive zone
Colborne 54.3%
Neutral zone
Colborne 53.6%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Colborne
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Colborne
Johnson
Last 5: Colborne 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Colborne
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
2
0
Colborne
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Colborne
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (284)
49.5% (828)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
54.9% (142)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
36.8% (133)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Colborne is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Colborne shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Colborne
Johnson
Home
60.7% (163)
50.7% (564)
Away
44.5% (173)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Colborne
Johnson
P1
59.3%
51.2%
P2
47.0%
47.5%
P3
52.4%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2014 | OT | 02:52 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 21, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 2 | 13:53 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |