Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Colborne wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colborne 52.9% vs Fiddler 50.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 83.9%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 78.2%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 57.0%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Colborne
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Colborne
Fiddler
Last 7: Colborne 6-1 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
4
0
Colborne
Fiddler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Colborne
Fiddler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colborne
1
0
Colborne
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colborne
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (94)
52.4% (590)
+1.9%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
48.3% (29)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
47.5% (278)
+27.5%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Colborne is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Colborne shoots left. Fiddler is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Colborne
Fiddler
Home
62.5% (88)
51.6% (434)
Away
44.8% (67)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Colborne
Fiddler
P1
58.7%
45.4%
P2
56.1%
52.1%
P3
47.6%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
54.8%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |