Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Vermette wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 59.1% vs Pavelski 54.4% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 53.0%
Defensive zone
Vermette 91.3%
Neutral zone
Vermette 86.4%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Vermette
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Vermette
Pavelski
Last 7: Vermette 6-1 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
5
1
Vermette
Pavelski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (767)
53.2% (690)
+7.3%
Power Play
61.9% (84)
61.5% (174)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (164)
55.3% (47)
+1.4%
On even strength, Vermette has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Vermette is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (400).
Vermette shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Vermette
Pavelski
Home
63.0% (481)
56.1% (421)
Away
57.3% (534)
53.9% (490)
By Period
Vermette
Pavelski
P1
61.6%
57.1%
P2
60.4%
55.8%
P3
58.9%
52.5%
OT
46.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
60.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |